NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN ARIZ
Points 72.7 88.4
Total Points   161.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 26.2
Points From Free Throws 10.7 14.1
Shooting STAN ARIZ
Field Goals Made 26.7 32.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 66.0
Field Goal % 44.0% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 10.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 19.9
Free Throw % 73.9% 71.0%
Ball Control STAN ARIZ
Rebounds 31.3 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 11.4
Turnovers 13.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.0
Steals 5.2 8.5
Fouls 14.6 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN ARIZ
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 78.3
% of Possessions with STAN ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 25.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.0%
Turnover 17.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN ARIZ
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 31.2%