NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM SHSU
Points 70.2 74.9
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 23.8
Points From Free Throws 14.4 16.5
Shooting LAM SHSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 59.2
Field Goal % 43.4% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 14.4 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 22.9
Free Throw % 72.1% 72.3%
Ball Control LAM SHSU
Rebounds 33.8 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 13.5
Turnovers 11.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.8
Steals 5.4 6.1
Fouls 16.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM SHSU
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 73.8
% of Possessions with LAM SHSU
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.7%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.1%
Turnover 16.4% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM SHSU
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 36.2%