NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU BALL
Points 75.7 67.8
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 14.2
Shooting MOSU BALL
Field Goals Made 28.2 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 59.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 41.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 12.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 77.8%
Ball Control MOSU BALL
Rebounds 41.0 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.4
Turnovers 9.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.4
Steals 4.5 4.5
Fouls 15.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ball St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU BALL
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 70.0
% of Possessions with MOSU BALL
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.8%
Turnover 13.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU BALL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 21.8%