NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM LIP
Points 75.7 80.4
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 43.4 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 30.4
Points From Free Throws 10.3 12.9
Shooting LAM LIP
Field Goals Made 29.0 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 59.6
Field Goal % 44.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 10.3 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 16.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 77.5%
Ball Control LAM LIP
Rebounds 37.3 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 7.7
Turnovers 10.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.7
Steals 5.1 5.6
Fouls 14.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM LIP
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 69.4
% of Possessions with LAM LIP
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 32.5%
Player Fouled 16.4% 19.3%
Turnover 14.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM LIP
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 23.4%