ATS Situational Trends

Record IW adv TXST
Season 10-19-0 18-14-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 4-14-0 12-9-1
Streak L4 W7
Last 5 1-4-0 5-0-0
Last 10 2-8-0 7-2-1
Home 4-7-0 7-4-0
Away 6-12-0 11-10-1

Incar Word Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Away Texas +31.0 L by 32 -1.0
11/11 Away Tulsa +13.5 L by 14 -0.5
11/14 Home Schreiner -- W by 41 --
11/18 Away Ark Pine Bl +5.5 W by 19 +24.5
11/22 Home Jksnville St +3.0 W by 1 +4.0
11/25 Away UTSA +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
11/26 Neutral Jksnville St +6.5 L by 2 +4.5
12/01 Away Beth-Cook +0.5 L by 14 -13.5
12/09 Home N Arizona +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Rice +12.5 L by 23 -10.5
12/21 Away IL-Chicago +14.0 W by 1 +15.0
12/30 Away TX-Pan Am +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/02 Home Our Lady of the Lake -- W by 9 --
01/06 Home TX A&M-CC +2.0 L by 10 -8.0
01/08 Away Lamar +6.5 L by 16 -9.5
01/13 Away NW State -2.5 L by 26 -28.5
01/20 Home McNeese St +14.5 L by 14 +0.5
01/22 Home Nicholls +3.0 L by 4 -1.0
01/27 Home Hsn Christian -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
01/31 Away TX A&M-Com +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
02/03 Away New Orleans +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
02/05 Away SE Louisiana +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
02/10 Away Hsn Christian -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
02/12 Home Lamar +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
02/17 Home NW State -3.5 L by 20 -23.5
02/19 Home TX A&M-Com -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
02/24 Away McNeese St +26.0 L by 16 +10.0
02/26 Away Nicholls +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
03/02 Home New Orleans -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
03/04 Home SE Louisiana +4.0 L by 17 -13.0
03/06 Away TX A&M-CC +13.5 L by 19 -5.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Away AR Lit Rock -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
11/11 Away Miami (OH) -2.0 W by 10 +8.0
11/14 Away Oklahoma +16.0 L by 39 -23.0
11/17 Home UTSA -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
11/21 Neutral McNeese St +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
11/22 Neutral S Utah -2.0 L by 7 -9.0
11/25 Away TX-Arlington +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
11/30 Away Texas +19.5 L by 19 +0.5
12/11 Home Jarvis Christian -- W by 49 --
12/15 Away Sam Hous St +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
12/18 Home Le Tourneau -- W by 42 --
12/21 Away Houston +27.5 L by 35 -7.5
12/30 Away James Mad +12.0 L by 17 -5.0
01/04 Home Coastal Car -8.5 L by 8 -16.5
01/06 Home Marshall +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/11 Away Arkansas St +6.0 L by 3 +3.0
01/13 Away UL Monroe -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
01/17 Home Louisiana -1.0 L by 18 -19.0
01/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/24 Away Troy +9.0 L by 13 -4.0
01/28 Away Louisiana +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
02/01 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
02/03 Home S Mississippi -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
02/07 Home App State +8.0 W by 7 +15.0
02/10 Home Ball St -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
02/15 Away S Alabama +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
02/17 Away S Mississippi +4.0 L by 4 0.0
02/22 Away GA Southern +2.5 L by 8 -5.5
02/24 Away Georgia St +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
02/27 Home UL Monroe -5.5 W by 18 +12.5
03/01 Home Troy +4.5 W by 3 +7.5
03/05 Neutral Old Dominion -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
03/07 Neutral S Mississippi +2.5 W by 16 +18.5
03/09 Neutral Troy +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
03/10 Neutral James Mad +12.0 L by 5 +7.0
TXST -16.5 Open -18.0 High -18.0
Last -16.0 Low -16.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 714 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16 to 18 points. In these games:

  • The team like Texas State won the game 673 times (94.3%).
  • The team like Incarnate Word won the game 41 times (5.7%).
  • The team like Incarnate Word did better against the spread, going 360-342-12 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 35 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 18-14-3 (56.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -16.5 -- --
Open -18.0 -- --
History
12/05 02:50 PM -16.5 -- --
12/05 02:08 PM -16.5 -- --
12/05 01:02 PM -16.0 -- --
12/05 11:29 AM -16.0 -- --
12/05 10:59 AM -17.0 -- --
12/05 10:08 AM -18.0 -- --
12/05 09:32 AM -18.0 -- --
12/05 09:08 AM -18.0 -- --