NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL OHIO
Points 70.1 77.9
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 27.5
Points From Free Throws 17.7 13.4
Shooting BALL OHIO
Field Goals Made 22.6 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 60.4
Field Goal % 42.6% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 17.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 18.1
Free Throw % 77.8% 74.1%
Ball Control BALL OHIO
Rebounds 35.0 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.1
Turnovers 12.7 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.8
Steals 3.9 6.8
Fouls 14.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL OHIO
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 71.2
% of Possessions with BALL OHIO
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 30.4%
Player Fouled 23.8% 19.8%
Turnover 17.9% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL OHIO
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 25.8%