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Louisville vs. Miss State
Thu Nov 25, 2021
9:30pm ET
Nassau,
(Neutral Site)
Louisville vs. Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 2, Total Points: 132.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-1 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-12-1 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 11-9-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -2.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2730 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1559 times (57.1%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 1171 times (42.9%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1378-1292-60 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2806 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1388-1363-55 (50.5% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/25 09:29 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/25 08:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:37 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/25 07:31 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:58 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:24 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/25 05:43 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 05:16 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 04:04 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 03:58 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 03:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/25 02:43 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:49 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:22 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:25 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/25 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 11/25 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/25 08:04 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/25 07:37 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 04:49 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 11:45 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 11/24 07:40 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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