NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW LAM
Points 67.8 79.4
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 22.4
Points From Free Throws 16.3 17.0
Shooting IW LAM
Field Goals Made 21.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 61.8
Field Goal % 39.1% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 23.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.1%
Ball Control IW LAM
Rebounds 37.9 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.0
Turnovers 15.1 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 5.1 7.6
Fouls 17.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW LAM
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 76.3
% of Possessions with IW LAM
2 Point Attempt 36.5% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.4% 23.0%
Turnover 20.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW LAM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 31.6%