NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM IW
Points 79.4 67.8
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 22.8
Points From Free Throws 17.0 16.3
Shooting LAM IW
Field Goals Made 27.5 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 56.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 17.0 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 22.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 71.7%
Ball Control LAM IW
Rebounds 37.6 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.0
Turnovers 9.6 15.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.0
Steals 7.6 5.1
Fouls 15.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM IW
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 70.8
% of Possessions with LAM IW
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 27.7%
Player Fouled 23.0% 21.4%
Turnover 12.9% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM IW
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 31.8%