NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW WYO
Points 67.5 83.9
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 25.7
Points From Free Throws 12.6 20.9
Shooting IW WYO
Field Goals Made 23.7 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 55.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 41.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 27.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 75.2%
Ball Control IW WYO
Rebounds 33.3 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.1
Turnovers 12.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.8
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 19.5 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW WYO
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 71.9
% of Possessions with IW WYO
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.1% 27.0%
Turnover 17.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW WYO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 28.2%