NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM MCNS
Points 65.9 77.9
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 24.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 18.0
Shooting LAM MCNS
Field Goals Made 22.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.7
Field Goal % 40.6% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 26.0
Free Throw % 72.1% 69.1%
Ball Control LAM MCNS
Rebounds 34.3 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.3
Turnovers 14.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.0
Steals 4.3 8.4
Fouls 16.9 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM MCNS
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 72.8
% of Possessions with LAM MCNS
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 25.5%
Player Fouled 23.5% 24.1%
Turnover 20.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM MCNS
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 34.8%