NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM MCNS
Points 60.8 69.2
Total Points   130.1
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 19.0
Points From Free Throws 11.0 15.3
Shooting LAM MCNS
Field Goals Made 21.1 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 56.3
Field Goal % 37.5% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 22.7
Free Throw % 69.2% 67.1%
Ball Control LAM MCNS
Rebounds 36.6 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.4
Turnovers 12.4 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.0
Steals 5.3 8.0
Fouls 13.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM MCNS
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.0
% of Possessions with LAM MCNS
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.4%
Turnover 18.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM MCNS
Shot Blocked 7.3% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 34.0%