NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM DUQ
Points 62.3 74.1
Total Points   136.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 25.1
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.5
Shooting LAM DUQ
Field Goals Made 21.9 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 56.0
Field Goal % 38.5% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 21.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.4%
Ball Control LAM DUQ
Rebounds 34.0 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.1
Turnovers 12.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.1
Steals 5.9 7.1
Fouls 15.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM DUQ
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 69.3
% of Possessions with LAM DUQ
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 29.6%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.7%
Turnover 17.8% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM DUQ
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 32.8%