NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL EMU
Points 74.3 66.9
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 17.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 9.1
Shooting BALL EMU
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 60.2
Field Goal % 45.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 13.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 66.6%
Ball Control BALL EMU
Rebounds 35.9 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 12.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL EMU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 68.7
% of Possessions with BALL EMU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 23.0%
Player Fouled 24.2% 17.3%
Turnover 14.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL EMU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 25.4%