NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL GASO
Points 76.1 77.5
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 28.7
Points From Free Throws 24.1 11.4
Shooting BALL GASO
Field Goals Made 22.5 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 61.6
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 24.1 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 30.9 16.0
Free Throw % 77.8% 71.5%
Ball Control BALL GASO
Rebounds 34.9 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.9
Turnovers 11.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.6
Steals 4.9 6.6
Fouls 12.7 21.0

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL GASO
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 71.5
% of Possessions with BALL GASO
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 29.9%
Player Fouled 29.0% 17.5%
Turnover 16.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL GASO
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 27.7%