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Louisville at Boston Col
Wed Jan 25, 2023
9:00pm ET
Chestnut Hill, MA
Louisville at Boston Col: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Boston College by 9.5, Total Points: 132
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | BC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-1 | 16-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 9-14-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-12-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 9-11-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
Boston Col Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Fairfield | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Citadel | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Richmond | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Harvard | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Colorado St | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Loyola-Chi | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Vanderbilt | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC State | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Central Conn | -16.0 | W by 14 | -2.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Holy Cross | -21.0 | W by 31 | +10.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | St Johns | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lehigh | -16.5 | W by 16 | -0.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Wake Forest | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | GA Tech | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Clemson | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | VA Tech | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Syracuse | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Florida St | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | L by 15 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Florida St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | NC State | +5.0 | L by 11 | -6.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Pittsburgh | +1.5 | L by 25 | -23.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Louisville | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Miami | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Clemson | +7.5 | W by 21 | +28.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/19 | Away | Providence | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | UNLV | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| BC -9.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2328 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Boston College won the game 1956 times (84.0%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 372 times (16.0%).
- The team like Boston College did better against the spread, going 1160-1137-31 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3699 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1829-1805-65 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/25 09:03 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/25 08:49 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 03:46 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 01:54 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/25 01:05 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 11:41 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:37 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/25 10:08 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:23 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:25 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:22 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:03 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/24 10:34 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:23 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/24 09:52 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 07:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/24 05:13 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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