NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL UIC
Points 68.1 74.5
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 27.5
Points From Free Throws 19.2 10.3
Shooting BALL UIC
Field Goals Made 21.4 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 60.2
Field Goal % 40.0% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 19.2 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 15.0
Free Throw % 77.8% 68.8%
Ball Control BALL UIC
Rebounds 35.1 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.8
Turnovers 12.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.5
Steals 4.8 6.4
Fouls 12.2 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL UIC
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 69.2
% of Possessions with BALL UIC
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 29.1%
Player Fouled 25.4% 16.9%
Turnover 16.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL UIC
Shot Blocked 9.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 22.3%