NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW HCU
Points 81.5 75.8
Total Points   157.3
Points From 2-Pointers 45.4 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 16.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 17.4
Shooting IW HCU
Field Goals Made 30.0 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 59.7
Field Goal % 47.0% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.1 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 27.2
Free Throw % 71.7% 64.1%
Ball Control IW HCU
Rebounds 39.6 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.0
Turnovers 11.2 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.4
Steals 6.5 6.1
Fouls 16.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW HCU
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 75.7
% of Possessions with IW HCU
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 17.9%
Player Fouled 17.5% 22.3%
Turnover 14.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW HCU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 28.4%