NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL WIU
Points 68.2 67.5
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 17.9
Points From Free Throws 14.3 10.7
Shooting BALL WIU
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 61.0
Field Goal % 40.7% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.3 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 17.1
Free Throw % 77.8% 62.4%
Ball Control BALL WIU
Rebounds 33.2 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 14.6
Turnovers 8.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.0
Steals 5.3 4.9
Fouls 12.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL WIU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 72.4
% of Possessions with BALL WIU
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 20.6%
Player Fouled 21.8% 18.7%
Turnover 12.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL WIU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 37.3%