NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW SELA
Points 68.0 75.2
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.8
Shooting IW SELA
Field Goals Made 23.1 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 57.1
Field Goal % 40.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 22.7
Free Throw % 71.7% 74.0%
Ball Control IW SELA
Rebounds 35.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.3
Turnovers 13.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.4
Steals 5.4 7.7
Fouls 15.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW SELA
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 71.0
% of Possessions with IW SELA
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.7%
Turnover 18.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW SELA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 29.0%