NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM SFA
Points 69.7 72.8
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 20.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 19.5
Shooting LAM SFA
Field Goals Made 23.1 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 54.2
Field Goal % 42.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.6 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 27.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.3%
Ball Control LAM SFA
Rebounds 33.2 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 13.1
Turnovers 15.1 14.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.4
Steals 6.8 7.8
Fouls 19.0 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM SFA
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 72.2
% of Possessions with LAM SFA
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 23.3%
Player Fouled 24.9% 25.8%
Turnover 20.5% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM SFA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 36.9%