NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL EIU
Points 74.2 66.3
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 16.9
Points From Free Throws 18.9 10.8
Shooting BALL EIU
Field Goals Made 24.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 61.9
Field Goal % 48.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 43.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 18.9 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 14.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 73.7%
Ball Control BALL EIU
Rebounds 35.8 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.9
Turnovers 12.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.3
Steals 3.9 7.3
Fouls 11.6 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ball St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL EIU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 70.7
% of Possessions with BALL EIU
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 55.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 21.1%
Player Fouled 27.8% 16.7%
Turnover 17.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL EIU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 25.5%