NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM TTU
Points 65.8 82.7
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 30.1
Points From Free Throws 11.0 18.2
Shooting LAM TTU
Field Goals Made 24.3 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 57.9
Field Goal % 39.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 11.0 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 23.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 78.5%
Ball Control LAM TTU
Rebounds 33.0 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 12.0
Turnovers 11.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.3
Steals 4.9 5.8
Fouls 16.1 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM TTU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 72.4
% of Possessions with LAM TTU
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 32.2%
Player Fouled 18.9% 22.9%
Turnover 15.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM TTU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 36.0%