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Ball St at Toledo
Fri Mar 5, 2021
7:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Ball St at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 9.5, Total Points: 155
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-13-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-0 | 8-9-0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Goshen | -- | W by 61 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Oakland City | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 24 | -25.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | SC Upstate | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +2.0 | L by 26 | -24.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bellarmine | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Detroit | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | SIU Edward | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Indiana St | +15.5 | L by 11 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Kent St | +11.0 | L by 13 | -2.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Central Mich | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Akron | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Toledo | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | E Michigan | -1.0 | W by 14 | +13.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | -4.0 | L by 7 | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Buffalo | -1.5 | W by 28 | +26.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Illinois | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Michigan | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Ohio | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | L by 21 | -18.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | N Illinois | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Michigan | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Central Mich | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | W Michigan | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Kent St | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| TOL -9.5 | Open | -11.0 | High | -11.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2248 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1858 times (82.7%).
- The team like Ball St. won the game 390 times (17.3%).
- The team like Ball St. did better against the spread, going 1123-1091-34 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 500 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 255-243-2 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.5 | -8.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/05 06:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:53 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:05 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 04:50 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 03/05 04:20 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:04 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/05 01:47 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 01:11 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:14 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/05 11:59 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:14 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/05 11:02 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:17 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:53 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:34 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/05 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 03/05 08:59 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 03/04 10:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:11 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/04 09:33 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:26 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:14 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 03/04 05:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/04 05:17 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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