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Louisville at Florida St
Mon Feb 24, 2020
7:00pm ET
Tallahassee, FL
Louisville at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida State by 3, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-1 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 12-10-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-12-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 8-8-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| FSU -3.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3166 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 1875 times (59.2%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 1291 times (40.8%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 1546-1545-75 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4875 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 2406-2371-98 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/24 06:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:45 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/24 06:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/24 05:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 03:42 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/24 02:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 01:36 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 01:10 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 11:21 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 11:01 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/24 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/24 09:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:03 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:24 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/24 05:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/24 05:34 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:54 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/24 01:12 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:53 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:45 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/23 09:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/23 05:10 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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