NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LOU CLEM
Points 64.9 83.0
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 26.2
Points From Free Throws 16.6 17.3
Shooting LOU CLEM
Field Goals Made 21.5 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 55.4
Field Goal % 38.5% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 16.6 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.9
Free Throw % 74.2% 79.1%
Ball Control LOU CLEM
Rebounds 30.4 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.2
Turnovers 9.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.7
Steals 4.8 5.3
Fouls 15.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Louisville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LOU CLEM
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 68.8
% of Possessions with LOU CLEM
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.0%
Turnover 14.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LOU CLEM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 24.3%