NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW ACU
Points 68.1 79.2
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 18.8
Points From Free Throws 15.5 19.7
Shooting IW ACU
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 58.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 15.5 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 26.9
Free Throw % 71.7% 73.4%
Ball Control IW ACU
Rebounds 36.3 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.9
Turnovers 16.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.6
Steals 4.8 8.7
Fouls 18.1 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW ACU
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 74.0
% of Possessions with IW ACU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 18.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 24.2%
Turnover 21.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW ACU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 25.1%