NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BALL MICH
Points 71.1 78.4
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 24.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.5
Shooting BALL MICH
Field Goals Made 24.4 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 59.2
Field Goal % 42.7% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 19.1
Free Throw % 77.8% 70.8%
Ball Control BALL MICH
Rebounds 31.0 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.6
Turnovers 10.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.8
Steals 5.3 4.7
Fouls 14.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BALL MICH
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 71.1
% of Possessions with BALL MICH
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 25.2%
Player Fouled 22.9% 20.5%
Turnover 14.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BALL MICH
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 31.4%