NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM UVU
Points 66.4 69.5
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 16.9
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.1
Shooting LAM UVU
Field Goals Made 23.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 57.9
Field Goal % 39.6% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 23.1
Free Throw % 72.1% 65.3%
Ball Control LAM UVU
Rebounds 36.1 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.1
Turnovers 11.5 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.0
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 16.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM UVU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 72.4
% of Possessions with LAM UVU
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 23.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.4%
Turnover 16.0% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM UVU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 31.8%