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W Carolina at E Tenn St
Sat Feb 29, 2020
4:00pm ET
Johnson City, TN
W Carolina at E Tenn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: East Tennessee St. by 12.5, Total Points: 150
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WCU | adv | ETSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 12-9-0 |
W Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Dalton St. | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Notre Dame | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Middle Tenn | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | McNeese St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Alabama | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | TN Tech | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Gard-Webb | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | High Point | +1.0 | L by 26 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | NC-Asheville | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | SC Upstate | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Vanderbilt | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Brescia | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/30 | Home | King College | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Citadel | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wofford | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | E Tenn St | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mercer | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Samford | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Furman | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | VMI | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Citadel | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Mercer | -7.0 | W by 33 | +26.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Samford | +6.5 | L by 26 | -19.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | VMI | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Furman | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Chattanooga | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Furman | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
E Tenn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | King College | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Elon | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Butler | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Davidson | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Alab A&M | -11.5 | W by 11 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | App State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Jksnville St | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | TN Tech | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Tusculum | -- | W by 62 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Utah St | +18.0 | L by 15 | +3.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | E Carolina | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Mercer | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | W Carolina | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Furman | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Wofford | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Chattanooga | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | VMI | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Samford | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Mercer | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Citadel | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wofford | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Furman | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Chattanooga | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Carolina | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | VMI | -18.5 | W by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Samford | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Citadel | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | VMI | -17.5 | W by 32 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | NC-Grnsboro | +7.0 | W by 11 | +18.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Chattanooga | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Samford | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| ETSU -12.5 | Open | -12.5 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1576 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:
- The team like East Tennessee St. won the game 1408 times (89.3%).
- The team like Western Carolina won the game 168 times (10.7%).
- The team like Western Carolina did better against the spread, going 786-763-27 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3682 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like East Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 1820-1793-69 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.5 | -12.5 | -12.0 |
| Open | -11.5 | -11.5 | -11.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 11:46 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:25 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 02/29 09:45 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 02/29 09:42 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 02/29 09:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 08:27 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 07:51 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:55 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/29 01:34 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/28 07:44 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
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