NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU SAM
Points 76.3 79.9
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 22.8
Points From Free Throws 14.3 16.4
Shooting WCU SAM
Field Goals Made 27.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 59.3
Field Goal % 44.5% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 14.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 23.2
Free Throw % 70.0% 70.7%
Ball Control WCU SAM
Rebounds 38.9 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 7.8
Turnovers 11.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 4.0 6.4
Fouls 18.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU SAM
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 73.0
% of Possessions with WCU SAM
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 24.5%
Turnover 16.1% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU SAM
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 22.2%