NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU UNCA
Points 74.9 72.0
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 18.3
Points From Free Throws 12.3 17.3
Shooting WCU UNCA
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 56.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.3 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 23.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 75.0%
Ball Control WCU UNCA
Rebounds 39.9 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 7.2
Turnovers 9.1 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 3.6 4.2
Fouls 17.9 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Asheville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU UNCA
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 70.1
% of Possessions with WCU UNCA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 21.4%
Player Fouled 18.9% 25.2%
Turnover 12.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU UNCA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 20.3%