NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM ALBY
Points 78.6 69.7
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 43.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 21.6
Points From Free Throws 16.1 11.5
Shooting UVM ALBY
Field Goals Made 28.1 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 62.3
Field Goal % 49.5% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 16.1 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 15.6
Free Throw % 71.9% 73.9%
Ball Control UVM ALBY
Rebounds 36.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 9.8
Turnovers 9.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.4
Steals 6.0 5.9
Fouls 12.1 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM ALBY
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 71.4
% of Possessions with UVM ALBY
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 27.3%
Player Fouled 23.6% 16.9%
Turnover 12.9% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM ALBY
Shot Blocked 5.6% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 25.5%