NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM NJIT
Points 73.0 59.4
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 20.0
Points From Free Throws 15.3 11.1
Shooting UVM NJIT
Field Goals Made 24.6 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 59.2
Field Goal % 45.5% 35.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 39.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 15.3 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 15.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 72.1%
Ball Control UVM NJIT
Rebounds 38.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 9.5
Turnovers 8.2 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.6
Steals 4.8 5.2
Fouls 11.9 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM NJIT
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 68.2
% of Possessions with UVM NJIT
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 29.7%
Player Fouled 24.6% 17.7%
Turnover 12.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM NJIT
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.6%