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W Carolina at VMI
Sat Jan 28, 2023
1:00pm ET
Lexington, VA
W Carolina at VMI: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Carolina by 3.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WCU | adv | VMI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-14-0 | 11-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-7-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 6-12-0 |
W Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Dalton St. | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Notre Dame | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Middle Tenn | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | McNeese St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Alabama | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | TN Tech | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Gard-Webb | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | High Point | +1.0 | L by 26 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | NC-Asheville | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | SC Upstate | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Vanderbilt | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Brescia | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/30 | Home | King College | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Citadel | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wofford | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | E Tenn St | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mercer | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Samford | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Furman | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | VMI | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Citadel | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Mercer | -7.0 | W by 33 | +26.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Samford | +6.5 | L by 26 | -19.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | VMI | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Furman | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Chattanooga | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Furman | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
VMI Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Richmond | +17.5 | L by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Christendom | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/13 | Away | S Carolina | +22.0 | L by 10 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | South Dakota | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Arizona | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Air Force | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Clarks Summit | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | Navy | +4.0 | L by 20 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Presbyterian | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | American | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Radford | +15.5 | L by 17 | -1.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Longwood | +18.0 | L by 19 | -1.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Penn St.-New Kensington | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Wofford | +15.5 | L by 2 | +13.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mercer | +4.5 | L by 22 | -17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Chattanooga | +16.0 | L by 48 | -32.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Samford | +24.0 | L by 38 | -14.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Furman | +16.5 | L by 40 | -23.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Citadel | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | E Tenn St | +10.5 | L by 1 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Carolina | +21.5 | L by 25 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mercer | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Chattanooga | +15.0 | L by 4 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Samford | +19.5 | L by 39 | -19.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Furman | +23.5 | L by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Citadel | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | E Tenn St | +18.5 | L by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +23.5 | L by 42 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wofford | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | E Tenn St | +17.5 | L by 32 | -14.5 |
| WCU -3.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2215 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Carolina won the game 1308 times (59.1%).
- The team like VMI won the game 907 times (40.9%).
- The team like VMI did better against the spread, going 1124-1047-44 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3417 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like VMI did better against the spread, going 1690-1656-71 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 12:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:14 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 12:28 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/27 07:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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