NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU VMI
Points 84.3 63.5
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 14.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.8
Shooting WCU VMI
Field Goals Made 31.3 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 61.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 41.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 16.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 70.4%
Ball Control WCU VMI
Rebounds 44.5 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 7.1
Turnovers 8.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.1
Steals 5.0 4.0
Fouls 14.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU VMI
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 77.5 71.1
% of Possessions with WCU VMI
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 53.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 19.7%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.5%
Turnover 11.5% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU VMI
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 17.5%