NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU FUR
Points 77.7 75.4
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 23.0
Points From Free Throws 11.2 14.3
Shooting WCU FUR
Field Goals Made 29.6 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 61.1
Field Goal % 47.4% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.2 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 19.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.6%
Ball Control WCU FUR
Rebounds 38.2 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.5
Turnovers 8.9 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.4
Steals 3.5 4.9
Fouls 14.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU FUR
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 72.7
% of Possessions with WCU FUR
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 28.9%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.5%
Turnover 12.4% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU FUR
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 22.8%