NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM COLG
Points 63.3 62.2
Total Points   125.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 18.8
Points From Free Throws 10.0 9.2
Shooting UVM COLG
Field Goals Made 22.5 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 56.2
Field Goal % 40.1% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 10.0 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 13.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 66.6%
Ball Control UVM COLG
Rebounds 34.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 7.4
Turnovers 8.0 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.6
Steals 4.8 4.9
Fouls 11.2 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM COLG
Total Possessions 65.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 64.2
% of Possessions with UVM COLG
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 36.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 18.0% 17.2%
Turnover 12.2% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM COLG
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 21.1%