NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU WEBB
Points 74.6 68.2
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 18.1
Points From Free Throws 13.1 13.7
Shooting WCU WEBB
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.9
Field Goal % 44.7% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 13.1 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 22.3
Free Throw % 70.0% 61.5%
Ball Control WCU WEBB
Rebounds 40.5 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.8
Turnovers 8.7 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 3.4 4.3
Fouls 16.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU WEBB
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 72.1
% of Possessions with WCU WEBB
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 20.5%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.4%
Turnover 12.3% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU WEBB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 22.4%