NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM STON
Points 69.7 65.4
Total Points   135.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.2 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 20.2
Points From Free Throws 11.9 11.8
Shooting UVM STON
Field Goals Made 23.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 58.2
Field Goal % 40.9% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 16.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 72.8%
Ball Control UVM STON
Rebounds 36.2 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.1
Turnovers 7.8 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.3
Steals 5.1 4.6
Fouls 12.5 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Vermont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM STON
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 67.8
% of Possessions with UVM STON
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 38.5% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 18.5%
Turnover 11.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM STON
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 21.9%