NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU FSU
Points 72.0 75.2
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 13.3
Points From Free Throws 13.7 18.4
Shooting WCU FSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.7
Field Goal % 42.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 13.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 26.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 70.5%
Ball Control WCU FSU
Rebounds 39.3 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.6
Turnovers 12.3 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.4
Steals 2.9 7.1
Fouls 18.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU FSU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 73.4
% of Possessions with WCU FSU
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 16.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 25.5%
Turnover 17.0% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 4.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU FSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 24.0%