NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU SCUS
Points 76.7 65.6
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 17.3
Points From Free Throws 15.1 11.7
Shooting WCU SCUS
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 15.1 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 18.3
Free Throw % 70.0% 64.0%
Ball Control WCU SCUS
Rebounds 43.0 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 6.5
Turnovers 9.8 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 3.6 5.1
Fouls 15.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU SCUS
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 68.3
% of Possessions with WCU SCUS
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.6%
Turnover 14.0% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU SCUS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 17.3%