NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU WOF
Points 74.5 70.2
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 22.5
Points From Free Throws 12.8 10.6
Shooting WCU WOF
Field Goals Made 26.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 59.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 61.9%
Ball Control WCU WOF
Rebounds 37.8 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.1
Turnovers 7.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.5
Steals 3.6 3.1
Fouls 14.9 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wofford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU WOF
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 70.1
% of Possessions with WCU WOF
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 27.5%
Player Fouled 20.8% 21.5%
Turnover 10.6% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU WOF
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 24.4%