NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA WAKE
Points 61.5 64.4
Total Points   125.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 20.6
Points From Free Throws 8.8 11.5
Shooting UVA WAKE
Field Goals Made 23.4 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 54.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 8.8 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 14.6
Free Throw % 62.1% 79.2%
Ball Control UVA WAKE
Rebounds 32.3 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.7
Turnovers 7.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.9
Steals 5.9 4.4
Fouls 13.3 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA WAKE
Total Possessions 65.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 62.6
% of Possessions with UVA WAKE
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 28.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 20.5%
Turnover 11.4% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA WAKE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 23.8%