NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA VT
Points 63.5 62.6
Total Points   126.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 21.4
Points From Free Throws 8.7 11.3
Shooting UVA VT
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 53.6
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 8.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 14.1
Free Throw % 62.1% 79.8%
Ball Control UVA VT
Rebounds 33.2 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.4
Turnovers 7.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.5
Steals 6.3 3.9
Fouls 12.7 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA VT
Total Possessions 64.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 61.6
% of Possessions with UVA VT
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.8% 19.7%
Turnover 11.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA VT
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 22.8%