NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA CLEM
Points 59.0 64.4
Total Points   123.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 9.2 11.1
Shooting UVA CLEM
Field Goals Made 21.6 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 55.1
Field Goal % 37.3% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 9.2 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 14.3
Free Throw % 62.1% 77.8%
Ball Control UVA CLEM
Rebounds 33.0 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.4
Turnovers 6.3 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 5.7 3.4
Fouls 12.0 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA CLEM
Total Possessions 64.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 63.6
% of Possessions with UVA CLEM
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 31.3%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.6%
Turnover 9.7% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA CLEM
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 25.1%