NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA GT
Points 64.0 60.7
Total Points   124.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 22.2
Points From Free Throws 9.2 9.6
Shooting UVA GT
Field Goals Made 24.0 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.9
Field Goal % 39.7% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 9.2 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 13.0
Free Throw % 62.1% 73.6%
Ball Control UVA GT
Rebounds 34.7 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.7
Turnovers 5.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.7
Steals 6.5 3.1
Fouls 11.4 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA GT
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 64.9
% of Possessions with UVA GT
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.5%
Turnover 8.4% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA GT
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 29.5%