NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCU ULM
Points 76.6 74.4
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 19.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 15.8
Shooting CCU ULM
Field Goals Made 26.9 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 62.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 23.6
Free Throw % 69.4% 66.8%
Ball Control CCU ULM
Rebounds 36.9 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.8
Turnovers 12.2 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.0
Steals 4.5 7.8
Fouls 15.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCU ULM
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 77.5
% of Possessions with CCU ULM
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 25.6%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.3%
Turnover 16.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCU ULM
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 30.9%