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Central Mich at Buffalo
Thu Feb 25, 2021
2:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Central Mich at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 21.5, Total Points: 162
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CMU | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-15-0 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 9-7-0 |
Central Mich Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +21.5 | L by 30 | -8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | UL Monroe | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Florida St | +20.5 | L by 27 | -6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | S Florida | +17.0 | W by 5 | +22.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Siena | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Stetson | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 27 | -3.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Valparaiso | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Creighton | +31.0 | L by 45 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Davenport | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Buffalo | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Ball St | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | E Michigan | +4.5 | W by 16 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kent St | +7.0 | W by 15 | +22.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Ohio | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Toledo | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Miami (OH) | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Michigan | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | N Illinois | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Akron | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | W Michigan | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Miami (OH) | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Ball St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | E Michigan | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -21.5 | Open | -19.0 | High | -21.5 |
| Last | -20.5 | Low | -19.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 419 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 409 times (97.6%).
- The team like Central Michigan won the game 10 times (2.4%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 209-199-11 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 229 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Michigan did better against the spread, going 121-102-6 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.5 | -21.5 | -21.5 |
| Open | -19.5 | -19.5 | -19.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/25 02:04 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 02/25 01:59 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 01:54 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 02/25 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -21.5 |
| 02/25 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -21.0 |
| 02/25 12:20 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:05 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 11:34 AM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 02/25 11:29 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -20.5 |
| 02/25 10:50 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:11 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 02/25 09:24 AM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 02/25 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 02/25 09:11 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:20 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 02/25 04:47 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -19.5 |
| 02/24 10:47 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:38 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:56 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:54 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 02/24 05:44 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 02/24 05:38 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:54 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 02/24 04:47 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
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