NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU BALL
Points 67.5 69.1
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 22.8
Points From Free Throws 10.4 16.6
Shooting CMU BALL
Field Goals Made 25.4 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 57.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 10.4 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 21.3
Free Throw % 67.1% 77.8%
Ball Control CMU BALL
Rebounds 37.4 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.1
Turnovers 9.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 5.5 4.2
Fouls 16.0 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU BALL
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 69.8
% of Possessions with CMU BALL
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 28.9%
Player Fouled 18.1% 22.9%
Turnover 14.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU BALL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 27.4%